How to Think 10 Years Ahead Without Losing Today

Why navigating AI’s future requires both vision and presence.

In partnership with

The Daily Newsletter for Intellectually Curious Readers

Join over 4 million Americans who start their day with 1440 – your daily digest for unbiased, fact-centric news. From politics to sports, we cover it all by analyzing over 100 sources. Our concise, 5-minute read lands in your inbox each morning at no cost. Experience news without the noise; let 1440 help you make up your own mind. Sign up now and invite your friends and family to be part of the informed.

Living in Two Timelines

Everywhere you look, people are making bold predictions about AI. Some say it will replace half of today’s jobs, others argue it will unlock unimaginable creativity and economic growth. Leaders like Sam Altman (OpenAI) predict a fundamental reshaping of human labor. Jensen Huang (NVIDIA) insists AI will become “the single most important force of our lifetime.”

It’s tempting to get lost in this conversation. To obsess over what the world will look like in 2035. To wonder if your career, your business, or even your identity will still matter.

But here’s the paradox: if you only look forward, you miss today. And if you only manage today, you risk being unprepared for what’s ahead.

The challenge — and the opportunity — is to learn to think 10 years ahead without losing today.

“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.”

Roy Amara

The 10-Year Viewpoint: Why It Matters Now

AI is advancing exponentially. A report from McKinsey estimated that generative AI could add $2.6 to $4.4 trillion annually to the global economy. The World Economic Forum forecasts that by 2030, automation and AI will transform over 1 billion jobs.

That’s not hype. That’s trajectory.

So the first reason to think 10 years ahead is obvious: the pace of change is too fast to rely on reactive thinking. If you’re waiting to “see what happens,” you’ll always be behind.

But futurists like Ray Kurzweil remind us of another truth: while technology advances exponentially, humans tend to think linearly. We underestimate the curve.

That’s why stepping into the 10-year lens matters. It stretches your perspective, helps you anticipate disruptions, and gives you the clarity to invest in skills and systems that will still matter — no matter how the tools change.

“Technology is not just about intelligence. It’s about humanity.”

Fei-Fei Li

The Anchors That Won’t Change

Here’s the good news: not everything about the future is unpredictable.

When I look across reports, expert commentary, and historical parallels, the same anchors emerge. These are the constants you can count on:

  1. Human connection will remain the foundation of trust.

    • Even if AI becomes the backbone of communication, people will still seek belonging, empathy, and authenticity.

    • As Fei-Fei Li (AI pioneer) says, “Technology is not just about intelligence. It’s about humanity.”

  2. Creativity and storytelling will always differentiate.

    • AI can remix, generate, and scale, but the spark of original taste, perspective, and narrative is uniquely human.

    • Great brands will still be built on compelling stories, not just clever prompts.

  3. Ethics and responsibility will define leaders.

    • As AI becomes embedded in business and life, those who lead with transparency and values will be trusted.

    • Ethan Mollick often reminds us that “responsible use of AI isn’t optional — it’s an advantage.”

  4. Systems will beat hustle.

    • Automation will make busywork vanish. The advantage will belong to those who design systems that free energy for vision and connection.

These constants are what allow you to plant roots in today, even while preparing for tomorrow.

“Responsible use of AI isn’t optional — it’s an advantage.”

Ethan Mollick

The Risks We Can’t Ignore

If clarity requires honesty, we must also discuss the risks.

  • Energy and Environment: Training frontier models like GPT-5 costs tens of millions of dollars and consumes massive energy. Scaling AI raises sustainability questions we don’t yet have answers for.

  • Centralization of Power: Right now, only a handful of companies can afford to train frontier models. That concentration has implications for innovation, economics, and democracy.

  • Skill Gaps: Businesses want AI adoption, but many lack the expertise to implement it effectively. This gap may widen inequality between those who adapt early and those who fall behind.

  • Trust and Transparency: The “black box” nature of AI makes it difficult to understand how decisions are made. This will become a pressure point in law, healthcare, and finance.

Naming these risks isn’t about fear. It’s about clarity. You can’t think 10 years ahead responsibly without considering the shadows as well as the opportunities.

Practical Ways to Think 10 Years Ahead

So how do you actually do it? Here’s a framework I recommend.

  1. Zoom Out Yearly

    • Dedicate time to imagining your industry in 2035.

    • Ask: What’s the worst-case disruption? What’s the best-case transformation?

    • This “futurist exercise” gives you context for your decisions today.

  2. Invest in Durable Personal Skills

    • Creativity, storytelling, leadership, ethical reasoning, critical thinking, and emotional intelligence.

    • These are the skills that don’t become obsolete — they compound as AI takes over execution.

  3. Learn How to Build Scalable Systems

    • Automations, workflows, and frameworks that support growth without more hours.

    • AI can do tasks, but you decide how they connect into a larger system that frees you to focus on vision.

  4. Sharpen Your Intuition

    • Pay attention to current signals: early trends, shifts in consumer behavior, and new policies.

    • Journal. Reflect. Ask what feels aligned with your values, not just what looks efficient.

  5. Stay Grounded in Today

    • The danger of futurist thinking is paralysis — feeling like you need to know everything before acting.

    • Instead: anchor in daily action. Write, test, learn, connect.

    • Remember: small steps today compound into relevance tomorrow.

Blend the Long View with Consistent Action

The next decade will reward those who can see far enough ahead to anticipate change, without getting so lost in prediction that they stop moving today.

It’s less about mapping the perfect route and more about holding two modes of attention at once:

  • The Long View — a clear sense of where you’re heading and what future you want to shape.

  • Consistent Action — the grounded, practical actions you can take now, with the resources and relationships you already have.

When these two perspectives meet, something powerful happens: you avoid both paralysis (“it’s all changing too fast”) and short-sightedness (“I just need to get through today”).

The art is in switching between the two — zooming out to orient, then zooming in to act. It’s this rhythm, not a perfect plan, that keeps you moving forward.

The AI era is not about choosing between today and tomorrow. It’s about weaving them together.

The future will belong to those who can see 10 years ahead while still showing up fully for the work of today.